Frank Holmes, CEO/CIO of US World Traders, believes Bitcoin and Ethereum may attain $80,000 and $3,000 respectively in 2021. He additionally sees the potential of Bitcoin dropping to $20,000 and Ethereum dropping to $500. This huge unfold is derived from a philosophy he calls the DNA of volatility.
DNA of volatility
In response to Holmes, every asset class has its personal DNA of volatility, or the everyday share of value fluctuation over a time period. He finds it notably intriguing when two totally different property have comparable volatilities. On this interview, he factors out that the DNA of volatility of Tesla is similar as Ethereum.
The inventory market, the S&P 500, is 1%. Gold is 1%. Gold shares are 2%. However Tesla is 5%. Ethereum is 5%. Bitcoin is 5%.
So why do these two seemingly disconnected property have comparable DNAs of volatility? Holmes believes {that a} increased vary of volatility is an indicator of a disruptive asset. Tesla is disrupting the automobile business whereas cryptocurrencies are disrupting the worldwide monetary sector. Though these property inhabit wholly totally different industries, they’re each brokers of change, which creates comparable uncertainty and volatility in value.
Bitcoin will change into artwork
The crypto area is known for high-flying Bitcoin value predictions. Some, corresponding to Dan Held, even imagine Bitcoin may hit $1,000,000 per coin. But when Bitcoin have been to achieve even a 3rd of that quantity, how would it not occur?
“What’s going to drive it to $400,000 valuations, I hear, is as a result of it’s going to change into artwork. It’s going to be categorised as a collector’s merchandise.”
Trying 3-4 years down the street, Holmes postulates that Bitcoin will nonetheless be invaluable as artwork even when it doesn’t change into the sovereign digital cash it was initially constructed to be. He likens proudly owning Bitcoin to having an unique Andy Warhol print, besides Bitcoin is much extra transactable.
“It’s superb…and there’s a restricted provide!”
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